Thursday, 3 February 2011


Betting on the winning horse: The people!

After the battles of yesterday and today that were fought bravely by the Egyptian revolutionaries against the militias of the regime, in which many martyrs fell by the bullets of the thugs. And after it was clear that the regime is maneuvering and on the one hand offering concessions (declaring that Gamal Mubarak will not run, that some ministers and party leaders of the NDP cannot leave the country and their accounts are frozen, and that the constitution will be altered), but on the other hand, attacks continued against the people barricaded in Tahrir square showing that several agendas are at the work on the regime side.

The regime is either lying or divided, it has no credibility and it is still sticking to an arrogant tone of denial. A tone that was expressed by Omar Suleiman (the man of the CIA in Egypt) the new vice president, when he spoke to the Egyptian media claiming that foreign agendas might be at work in what he called “protests.

The regime is failing to grasp that what is happening is a revolution, and so are parts of the traditional opposition who seems to be satisfied with some symbolic gestures presented as concessions. The attacks and the killings of today and yesterday have clearly proven to the masses that this regime cannot be trusted. If anybody doubted, that doubt is erased, and all the measures declared today are nothing but attempts to recreate that doubt.

Now the people are determined to go to the streets tomorrow and oust the president by force. The moral is very high in Tahrir square despite all the hardship. People are gathering, speaking , dancing and singing slogan like “tomorrow we will go get him from the palace” or ” this is the last day, this is the last day”. Millions are expected to participate all over the country.

The military police is starting to play a dirty role and its arresting activists and trying to abort the mobilization. Journalists are being arrested or harassed, the regime is clearly preparing a clamp down on the revolutionary forces. The violent intentions of the regime are clear, and the danger of a blood bath is clear and present.

In defiance of all this, the revolutionaries liberated all the entries of Tahrir square, and they now outnumber the demoralized and exhausted Mubarak Militiamen by the thousands. The real forces of the revolution, the youth of the middle class, the Muslim Brotherhood, the Nasserists, the radical Leftists, are mobilizing with the intention of marching on the presidential palace. They do not trust the regime; they believe that all the promises are aiming at buying time for the regime in order to better organize repression.

In all this the Americans are very nervous, they are losing faith in the regime and do not want to lose Egypt as an ally and puppet, so they are putting pressure on Mubarak to step down and pass the country to Omar Suleiman their faithful servant. They hope that then a transition period will start and that they will move in with hundreds of millions of dollars and fund political parties, lobbyers and media in order to engineer a pro American elite that will remain in power through democracy. The Israelis do not believe in this strategy, they rather think that no matter what the USA do, a hostile regime will be eventually elected into office in Egypt and that therefore it is imperative to crush the revolution by brute force and Mubarak should be supported in this. So now you have two horses within the regime in my opinion, Mubarak who is the Israeli horse and Suleiman who is the American horse.

The people are determined to put one of these horses to sleep tomorrow, and wouldn’t mind riding the other horse afterwards for while until true democracy is established. But riding the horse can only happen once it has been tamed, and to tame it that other horse should be put to sleep in front of its eyes tomorrow.

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