Saturday, 29 January 2011


Can the Army Neutralize the People?

Hope is a powerful feeling, it is contagious, and it tends to increase geometrically. And hope is exactly what Tunisia gave our Arab people everywhere, Tunisia the land of the revolution where today 3 martyrs fell in the Kasbah, is still the inspiration of a whole Nation. OUR great dormant nation, from Rabat to Baghdad. This Arab nation that many people called a myth, and many others see as a project, is an entity in need of awareness, it needs to have a sense of itself, its possibilities, its potential, its power. Tunisia gave us all that and the results are exploding in the streets of Egypt today.

Tunisia ousted Benali after almost a month, Egypt is close to doing it in few days.

Today the Egyptian people controlled the country and burned all ruling party buildings and all police stations. The army then went to the streets and controlled all strategic places. Moubarak went out to speak as if he is living in another planet; no concessions whatsoever apart from sacking a government that cannot govern anyhow. Some say the message was recorded and the tyrant already left the country, many believe otherwise. I believe that he either left or will leave very soon.

I wrote yesterday of the hand the Americans still can play…. I believe that a military coup maybe in the making. General Sami Annan ( chief of staff of the army) was in Washington and is heading home , maybe he is carrying with him the American secret card to play now.

This is dangerous for the uprising, as dangerous as the respect the people in Egypt have for the army. The Army is viewed by the average Egyptian as an entity that sacrificed for the fatherland in several wars against Israel and also as the only functioning and modern institution. It is similar with the position the army has in Tunisia. Nothing is less true, The Egyptian army just like the Tunisian army has organic ties with the pentagon and the CIA, it is not to be trusted. The only difference in this case is that in Tunisia the army took to the streets when the regime fell and not before so a coup scenario was already a difficult option. The Egyptian army may be a hurdle in the way of the people towards toppling the regime.

Would the people sweep the army in its way towards destroying the rest of the regime? Or would the army shoot at the people? Would the people and the army clash? I personally do not think so. The challenge now is for the people to be determined and persevere while making it clear to the army that the word is now to them, the people, and not to the army. In all other cases, the regime will just recuperate and regenerate with Mobarak at ots head or another American puppet.

It is my conviction that the Egyptian people are far from being satisfied with the outcome so far, and that this revolution will continue in all its glory. It will probably take more peaceful forms now, or, extremely more violent forms.

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